Saturday, October 30, 2010

Uranium - Turn $1,000 into $1 Million Investing In Quality Uranium Stocks


Big money will go to experienced teams with high-grade deposits near people, roads, and other mines

Can you turn $1,000 into $1 million in just a few years?

You can if you time a bull market in uranium stocks correctly

In September 2003, an Australian uranium company, Paladin Energy, traded for just 1¢ per share. Things were horrible for the uranium industry.

Back then, uranium sold for around $11 per pound. But it cost the industry $15 per pound to produce. That meant uranium companies lost $4 on every pound they sold. Except for expert contrarian investors, nobody wanted to own uranium stocks.

But 2003 was the very beginning of a huge bull market in uranium. By 2005, the uranium price had climbed to $20... By the end of the year, it was selling for $35 a pound. Investors went wild for uranium plays.

In January 2005, Paladin Energy was up to 47¢. That's a 4,600% gain from 2003 levels. By the end of 2005, it hit $2 per share… a 19,900% gain in just 30 months.

The uranium bull market peaked in 2007. Paladin topped out at $10.40 per share… an incredible 100,000%-plus gain. Every $1,000 invested turned into more than $1 million.

The uranium bull died in June 2007, thanks in part to the global economic collapse. The ride down was steep. Uranium fell from $136 per pound to $40 per pound in just two years.

But there's a new bull market getting started right now. The price just broke out to a new 52-week high. And the next Paladin is getting ready to take off. Before I get to that, let me explain what's driving the new move in uranium prices...

The bull case for uranium – the chief fuel for nuclear reactors – is simple: Emerging Asian nations, particularly China and India, are Westernizing. Their populations want air conditioning, refrigerators, iPods, and YouTube. That means electricity.

To meet its growing electricity demand, China plans to build 60 new nuclear reactors within the next 10 years. China's high-growth cousin, India, needs 40 new reactors in the next 20 years. That would increase the number of nuclear power plants in the world by 23%.

This new Asian nuclear boom is expected to be the largest period of nuclear power growth since OPEC's oil embargo. At its peak, back in the 1980s, the nuclear industry started up a new reactor every 15 days. By 2015, we could see a new reactor coming online every five days.

Both China and India understand the implications of that growth. According to Bloomberg, both countries are stockpiling the fuel. China could purchase more than twice as much uranium as it will use this year. The proposed reactors in China alone could consume more than 30% of the uranium mined today. That's why the country signed a 10-year, 10,000-ton deal with giant uranium miner Cameco.

But there is a real lack of new, near-term uranium production. That means supply won't increase as much as demand... and uranium prices will rise.

In fact, it's already begun. A small uranium firm I just recommended to my S&A Resource Report readers has climbed 50% for us in just two months. Many other uranium plays, like blue chip uranium miner Cameco (NYSE: CCJ, Stock Forum), are entering uptrends as well. But it's still early days and the masses haven't caught on. That's our opportunity. It's unlikely you'll score an unbelievable 100,000% gain... but hundreds of percent gains are easily within reach.

We have time to sleuth out the great junior miners and buy cheap. Focus on the little things: management's experience, burn rate (the amount of cash spent versus amount of cash in the bank), and projects.

The big money will go to experienced teams with high-grade deposits near people, roads, and other mines. That's what the expert contrarian investors are looking for now.



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Tuesday, October 26, 2010

AusAmerican Mining Expects To Raise $8.5m (ASX- AIW)

Published on Tuesday Oct 26 2010



 
PERTH, Oct 26 AAP - AusAmerican Mining Corporation Ltd says it expects to raise $8.5 million from a capital raising that will fund its ongoing exploration for rare earths,specialty metals, uranium and gold in the US.



3 Monthly Performance Chart - AIW



The junior explorer last week said it had finalised a book-build for a share placement that would raise over $5 million and also intended to undertake a share purchase plan that could raise up to an additional $3 million.
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Chairman Jim Malone said about 40 per cent of the book-build had been supported by investors in Canada, where the company was considering a listing on the Toronto Stock Exchange.

"We may end up with $8.5 million from the raising," he told AAP on Tuesday.

"It allows us to have a real crack at these projects."

Mr Malone said there were plenty of opportunities in the US where the mining sector was heavy with majors that only sought big projects, leaving smaller viable projects available for junior players.

"The US in many ways had a fairly thriving mining industry until about 20 years ago and then they abandoned it to go overseas for cheaper imports for a lot of commodities.

"Surprisingly, the Canadians haven't jumped on the US - they've got so much to explore for in their own country and in Latin America.

"We find a lot of opportunities that the US has let go."

Mr Malone said the US had introduced legislation to assist in the development of rare earths and uranium projects given China controls almost all of the world's rare earths supply and the US contains one quarter of the world's nuclear reactors.

Mining and exploration permits were becoming easier to obtain as once-active environmental groups became more subdued and the nation battled to address high levels of unemployment, he said.

"We're finding that all of the problems of doing business in the US have gone away due to necessity," Mr Malone said.


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Sunday, October 24, 2010

Southern Uranium (ASX:SNU) MD John Anderson Speaks With Brian Carlton at Symposium Roadshow

Published on Sunday Oct 24 2010
 
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LYNAS CORPORATION LIMITED (NPV) Analysis For This Stock

Published on Sunday Oct 24 2010
Special Note* This is not to be taken as Financial advice
Independent Analysis reveals a NPV of $3.29 per share at a 12% discount rate

Based on following assumptions

- The basket price of Lynas's REE remains at US$50/t until the end of 2012, by which time the light REE fall in price by 20% and remain at this price until the end of the project. It is assumed that heavy REE remain at the same price for the life of the project.

- The company has 17,490,000 tonnes of reserves at an average grade of 8.1%. This is derived from the Duncan Deposit (7.6m tonnes at 4.8%) and the Central Lanthanide Deposit (9.88m tonnes at 10.7%)

- The AUD/USD exchange rate is 1:1 until the end of 2012, by which time it remains at 0.80AUD/USD for the remainder of the mine life

- Production is 11K tonnes p.a, increasing to 22K tonnes p.a. by mid 2014

- Phase 2 expansion costs $120m and is entirely debt funded at a 10% interest rate

- Mine costs are $7.70/t, increasing by 2.5% p.a.

- Royalties are 5% ad volorum

- There are 1.65b shares on issue for the life of the project

- I have not considered the impact of LYC's holding of NTU or any other potential acquisitions

- LYC will have to pay corporate income tax in Australia based on the 'arm's length price' of the concentrate it ships to Malaysia. Determining the arm's length price for rare earth concentrate is quite difficult, given that the market is dominated by China. As such, I have not considered Australian corporate tax in my calculations. Presumably the company will have carried forward losses anyway

- LYC has a 10 year tax holiday in Malaysia. I have not considered what tax would be payable after this period. At any rate, the Present Value cost of this tax would be minimal.

- Corporate overheads are $5m p.a.

Lynus 6 Month Chart


Lynus 5 Year Chart


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Thursday, October 21, 2010

Uranium Spot Price News Update Oct 21-2010

Published on Thursday Oct 21 2010

 October Spot Hits US$51.50P/Lb. 
US$2.00 increase overnight.

Indicative Weekly Spot Ux U3O8 Price as of October 21, 2010

Trade Date: 21/10/2010
U3O8 Price (lb) US$51.50 [
+US$2.00]


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Monday, October 18, 2010

AusAmerican To Raise Up To $8m To Advance Uranium, Rare Earth, & Gold Projects

Published on Monday Oct 18 2010



Australian-American Mining Corporation Limited (ASX: AIW) has finalised a book build for a share placement which will raise over $5 million. 


The company is also pleased to announce it will be undertaking a Share Purchase Plan (“SPP”) which could raise up to an additional $3 million for a total of up to $8 million before fees.

Highlights:
  • A share placement for $4.5 million, managed by DJ Carmichael, was oversubscribed
  • It is anticipated that up to approximately 40% of the placement will be taken up by North American investors pursuant to a best efforts offering being led by Paradigm Capital Inc. of Toronto, Canada
  • Existing shareholders will be able to participate in a Share Purchase Plan (“SPP”) over the next month on the same terms as the placement. The record date for the SPP is close of business Friday 15th October 2010
  • Funds will allow the company to continue its aggressive exploration programme which has recently commenced and includes (i) Drilling at its four brown field uranium projects which collectively have an exploration target of an additional 35-40 million pounds, (ii) exploration and drilling its specialty metal and rare earth projects in Arizona, (iii) drilling at its Bernard gold project; and (iv) further project acquisition.

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Sunday, October 17, 2010

Denison To Sell White Canyon's Uranium

Published on Sunday Oct 17 2010


Australian Junior Uranium miner White Canyon Uranium (ASX-WCU)Ltd says Canada's Denison Mines Corp has agreed to handle the sale of concentrate from its Daneros mine in the United States.

Shares in White Canyon surged 1.8 cents, or 24 per cent, to 9.3 cents.

"It is anticipated that sales could commence as early as December," White Canyon said in a statement on Friday.
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"Denison's White Mesa Mill is expected to commence toll milling of the company's ore in coming weeks with an expected yield in excess of 200,000 pounds of uranium oxide."

Perth-based White Canyon, which is listed on the TSX Venture Exchange as well as the Australian bourse, began mining ore at Daneros in 2009 after receiving the first mining permit issued in the US state of Utah in 30 years.

Denison Mines is a mid-tier uranium producer that operates the only uranium/vanadium mill in the US near the city of Blanding, Utah.

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